Observed AI-attributed job cuts in 2025 compared to the 2026 projection — and the full source record behind this data.
Observed AI-attributed US job cuts in 2025 vs projected 2026 total — based on a CFO survey of 750 executives (Duke/NBER, March 2026).
Monthly rate: ~16,000 net US jobs lost per month (Goldman Sachs, Apr 2026)
Goldman Sachs (April 2026) — AI displacement monthly estimate · Fortune/Goldman Sachs (Oct 2025) — corporate disclosure survey · Challenger, Gray & Christmas Year-End 2025 & March 2026 reports — observed US layoff data · Duke University/NBER CFO Survey (March 2026, n=750) — 2026 projection · IMF Staff Discussion Note SDN/2024/001 (January 2024) — white-collar exposure · Tom's Hardware/Layoffs.fyi (April 2026) — Q1 2026 tech sector data · Company announcements: Klarna (CNBC, May 2025), BT Group (The Register, June 2025), Microsoft (Fast Company, July 2025), IBM (CNBC, Dec 2025), Accenture (CNBC, Sep 2025), Amazon (multiple sources), Citigroup (multiple sources), Oracle (Tom's Hardware, Apr 2026), Block/Square (Fortune & CNN, Feb 2026), Atlassian (CNBC, Mar 2026), Dell (Yahoo Finance, Mar 2026), Morgan Stanley (PYMNTS, Mar 2026), Snap (CNBC, Apr 2026), Baker McKenzie (Legal Cheek, Feb 2026).