AI capability vs. actual usage · Anthropic Economic Index
What AI is doing. What it's about to do. Sorted by risk.
Each row is an occupation category. The solid red bar is what AI is already doing. The pink outline extends to the theoretical ceiling — what AI could do but isn't yet. The space between them is the wave that hasn't hit. Data published by the company that builds the AI.
Observed (AI doing it now)
Theoretical ceiling (could do soon)
Look at the contrast. Computer & Mathematical work: 94% exposed — and only 33% of that has actually been automated so far. Fitness trainers: 5% theoretical ceiling, 0% observed. This isn't a prediction. It's what's already measurable. The industries with the biggest red outlines are where the displaced workers will come from. The industries at the bottom — yours — are where they'll go.
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